Friday, September 01, 2006

Washington Post Rankings

Wow. The Washington Post updated their House rankings of the 20 most competitive races. The fifth district race had not been previously ranked in the top 20, however, this week the race soared to 15th on the list. What had been a safe seat for many years is now considered the 15th most competitive House race in the country. It's truly amazing. Here's what Chris Cillizza had to say in his analysis:
Volatility is the rule in these finals two months as campaigns often yo-yo from neck and neck to non-competitive in the blink of an eye. That volatility led to the addition of several races to this month's Line -- most notably Indiana's 2nd district, which has emerged as one of Democrats' best chances for a pickup, and Connecticut's 5th district, where both public and private polling show Rep. Nancy Johnson in for her toughest race in more than a decade.

15. Connecticut's 5th District: Given her demonstrated fundraising ability ($2.6 million on hand at the end of June) and her longevity in Congress (24 years), Nancy Johnson (R) isn't an obvious target. But, Republican insiders say that MoveOn.org's "red handed" commercials that ran earlier this cycle did damage to Johnson's image. Plus, state Sen. Chris Murphy (D) is running an extremely active campaign with $1 million in the bank. The district is extremely competitive (Kerry won it by 1,100 votes in 2004) and if voters are looking for a fresh face Johnson could be in trouble. (Previous ranking: N/A)

1 Comments:

Blogger ctblogger said...

CT Progressive,

Could you shoot me an email? I wanna chit-chat with you.

Thanks

2:19 PM  

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